Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 187.5 (+102/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 204.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 187.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to call 65.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.6 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has exhibited good efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 7.32 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.
The Rams defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.59 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-fewest in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's safety corps has been tremendous since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the league.