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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 198.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 200.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 198.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).

The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Jalen Hurts's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.9% to 69.4%.

Jalen Hurts grades out as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 7.92 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 76th percentile.

The Commanders safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 46.7% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

This week, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the projection model to have the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 27.4.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.6 per game) this year.

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