Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 216.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 202.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 216.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.9% to 69.5%.
Jalen Hurts comes in as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 7.68 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect Jalen Hurts to throw 30.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

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