Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 233.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 234.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 233.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.63 seconds per play.
The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Eagles are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-fewest of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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