Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 60.3% to 68.1%.
Jalen Hurts has been among the most effective QBs in football this year, averaging a stellar 8.15 yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 3rd-most yards in the league (262.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 27.2 passes this week, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
The Washington Commanders defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.68 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the least in the league.

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