Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 242.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 238.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 242.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Jalen Hurts has passed for substantially more yards per game (243.0) this year than he did last year (194.0).

Favors Under

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.2 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: least in football.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league against the Washington Commanders defense this year (67.6%).

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