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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (+107/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 240.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 225.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 8.44 yards-per-target: the 4th-most in football.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 28.8 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.

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