Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 1

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass Attempts

New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-128/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 32.4 passes this week, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.