Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass Attempts

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-117/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
The Philadelphia Eagles have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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