Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass Attempts

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Philadelphia Eagles have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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