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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.9% to 69.1%.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (75.8% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 29.8 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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