Jalen Hurts Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Completions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in football versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a big 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 42.9% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the projections to wind up with the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 26.4.

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