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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+119/-161).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Jalen Hurts's passing precision has improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 60.3% to 65.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.7 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the league vs. the Houston Texans defense this year (65.7%).

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