Jalen Hurts Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Completions

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New York Giants defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 33.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the NFL against the New York Giants defense this year (67.7%).
The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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