Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+130/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.2% run rate.
Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to accrue 6.4 carries in this contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all QBs.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 18.8% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
The Eagles have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.5 plays per game.
The Jaguars linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.