Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:22 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+123/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 49.3% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
In this contest, Jalen Hurts is predicted by our trusted projection set to accumulate the most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 8.2.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to call his own number, taking on 22.1% of his team's rushing play calls last year, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Eagles have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
Philadelphia's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats too high) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some correction with improved weather in this game.