Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2024

Updated Oct 28, 2024 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 43.4% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-most run-centric team in football has been the Eagles.
The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.
In this game, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 2nd-most carries out of all QBs with 8.7.
Accounting for 29.3% of his team's run game usage this year (95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon as a ball-carrier.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
The projections expect the Eagles to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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