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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 43.4% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-most run-centric team in football has been the Eagles.
  • The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.
  • In this game, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 2nd-most carries out of all QBs with 8.7.
  • Accounting for 29.3% of his team's run game usage this year (95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon as a ball-carrier.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The projections expect the Eagles to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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