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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 4 points.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by our trusted projection set to notch the 2nd-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 8.2.

Taking on 28.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (98th percentile among quarterbacks), Jalen Hurts's mobility makes him a significant weapon with his legs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.04 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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