Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to total 11.8 carries in this contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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