Jaleel McLaughlin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jaleel McLaughlin

NFL · Player Props

Jaleel McLaughlin

RB · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaleel McLaughlin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
This year, the anemic Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded a staggering 91.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
The Chiefs linebackers profile as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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