Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jaleel McLaughlin

NFL · Player Props

Jaleel McLaughlin

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects Jaleel McLaughlin to be much more involved in his team's pass attack in this game (9.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.4% in games he has played).
This year, the porous New York Jets defense has given up a massive 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 8th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 60.1 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Denver Broncos have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.
Jaleel McLaughlin has totaled a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 15th percentile when it comes to RBs.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's group of LBs has been great this year, profiling as the best in the league.

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