Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jaleel McLaughlin

NFL · Player Props

Jaleel McLaughlin

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaleel McLaughlin is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs, hauling in an exceptional 87.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.
This year, the anemic Vikings pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 90.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the largest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).
Jaleel McLaughlin has compiled a paltry -8.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 2nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

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