Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Touchdowns

Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 5, 2026 8:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+277/-285).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With a high 18.9% Red Zone Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
Jakobi Meyers's 73.4% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 69.5% figure.

Favors Under

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are a massive favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 54.0% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 61.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
Jakobi Meyers has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (65.0 per game).

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