Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Touchdowns

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-310).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
As it relates to air yards, Jakobi Meyers grades out in the towering 77th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.0 per game.
Jakobi Meyers's 50.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 79th percentile for wide receivers.
Jakobi Meyers's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 69.5% to 90.6%.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Jaguars are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Jakobi Meyers has been given 2.4% of red zone rush attempts since the start of last season (0th when it comes to WRs).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 4th-fewest receiving TDs in the league to wide receivers: 0.60 per game since the start of last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 32nd-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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