Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Touchdowns

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-300).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 58.9% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Jakobi Meyers has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 16.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
As it relates to air yards, Jakobi Meyers grades out in the lofty 77th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing a striking 60.0 per game.
Jakobi Meyers checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football, hauling in an outstanding 70.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in football against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have just 126.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Jaguars are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Jakobi Meyers has garnered 2.5% of red zone rush attempts since the start of last season (0th when it comes to WRs).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New England's group of DTs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.