Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-325).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.5% red zone pass rate.
The model projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.
Favors Under
Jakobi Meyers, who has been given 2.6% of his team's rush attempts near the goal line since the start of last season (96th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Jacksonville Jaguars red zone run game.
Since the start of last season, the stout Denver Broncos defense has given up a feeble 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-best rate in football.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.39 per game since the start of last season.
The Denver defensive tackles grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL last year in regard to defending the run.