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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+174/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Jakobi Meyers to be much more involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line in this game (29.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).
  • In regards to air yards, Jakobi Meyers grades out in the towering 84th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a massive 78.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Jakobi Meyers ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

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