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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a giant 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • With an impressive 90.7% Route Participation% (86th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers ranks as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.
  • This week, Jakobi Meyers is predicted by the projection model to land in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 6.6 targets.
  • The Raiders O-line ranks as the best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in football (55.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Raiders have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.0 per game) this year.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 66.5% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 72.6% mark.

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