Jakobi Meyers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · New England Patriots

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to earn 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
Jakobi Meyers has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 26.0% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers's receiving talent has gotten better this year, accumulating 5.9 yards per game vs just 4.9 last year.
Jakobi Meyers's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.1% to 79.8%.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
The New England Patriots O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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