Jakobi Meyers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · New England Patriots

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to earn 8.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers's 60.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 90th percentile for WRs.
Jakobi Meyers has been among the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 5.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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