Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+124/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 58.9% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 94.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
As it relates to air yards, Jakobi Meyers grades out in the lofty 77th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing a striking 60.0 per game.
Jakobi Meyers grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 43.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
Jakobi Meyers checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football, hauling in an outstanding 70.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have just 126.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Patriots cornerbacks rank as the 9th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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