Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to earn 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
Jakobi Meyers has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 26.0% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers has compiled a colossal 72.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
Jakobi Meyers has notched many more receiving yards per game (72.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 126.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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