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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to earn 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jakobi Meyers has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 26.0% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • Jakobi Meyers has compiled a colossal 72.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jakobi Meyers has notched many more receiving yards per game (72.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 126.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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