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Jakobi Meyers
NFL · Player Props
Jakobi Meyers
WR · New England Patriots
Receiving TD
New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Jakobi Meyers Receiving TD

Jakobi Meyers Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+191/-278).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -216 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -278.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the end zone this week (23.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).
  • Jakobi Meyers has compiled a colossal 72.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 61.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 89th percentile for wide receivers.
  • Jakobi Meyers's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.1% to 79.8%.
Favors Under
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the 3rd-least passing TDs in the NFL to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.
  • The New England Patriots O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
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