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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Jake Ferguson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+160/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -230.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is projected by the projections to place in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs with 8.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

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