Jake Browning TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jake Browning

NFL · Player Props

Jake Browning

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

TD Passes

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jake Browning TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-280/+200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to start backup quarterback Jake Browning in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (67.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year.
This year, the daunting Steelers defense has allowed a mere 64.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.
This year, the strong Steelers defense has allowed a feeble 1.20 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-smallest rate in football.
The Steelers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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