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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-148/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack near the end zone in this contest (49.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.0% in games he has played).

Jahmyr Gibbs's 24.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 18.2.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 96.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a substantial improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 82.3% mark.

With an impressive rate of 0.14 per game through the air (84th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to RBs this year.

This year, the porous Chiefs defense has given up a whopping 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 46.7% red zone run rate.

At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for 0.57 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (95th percentile).

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

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