Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 4.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.8 per game) this year.
Jahmyr Gibbs's 15.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 22.1.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.7%) to running backs since the start of last season (75.7%).

More Jahmyr Gibbs Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow