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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

In this week's contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the model to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 82.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a substantial improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 73.7% rate.

This year, the shaky Chicago Bears pass defense has been torched for a whopping 87.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 55.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 22.1.

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

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