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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 66.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The model projects Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Jahmyr Gibbs's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 73.7% to 81.3%.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a huge 7-point favorite this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 22.1.

Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving skills have declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.4 adjusted catches compared to 3.4 last year.

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

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