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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Lions to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.

Jahmyr Gibbs checks in as one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging an impressive 2.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 82.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a substantial boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 73.7% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.

The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (just 54.8 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

Jahmyr Gibbs has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (48.0% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (58.9%).

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

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