Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to accrue 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to be a more important option in his team's passing attack this week (13.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.9% in games he has played).
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (78%) to RBs since the start of last season (78.0%).

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