Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 12:42:46 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (a colossal 62.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this week's game, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the projection model to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.3 targets.
After accumulating 2.0 air yards per game last season, Jahmyr Gibbs has produced significantly more this season, currently averaging 15.0 per game.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.0 per game) this year.
This year, the fierce Cardinals defense has yielded a meager 10.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the best in the league.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Cardinals pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a measly 0.3 YAC.