Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to total 4.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Jahmyr Gibbs has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 12.3% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 23.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
Jahmyr Gibbs's 84.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a remarkable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 73.7% rate.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 53.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a lowly 55.4 per game on average).
Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

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