Jahan Dotson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+669/-700).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Falcons will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
Favors Under
Our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.8% pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.1 per game) since the start of last season.
Jahan Dotson grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 52.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile among wide receivers
Jahan Dotson grades out in the 23rd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging just 0.06 per game.
The Panthers defense has given up the 7th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to WRs: 0.67 per game since the start of last season.