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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.

The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Last year, the weak Packers pass defense has yielded a monstrous 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.8 per game) last year.

The projections expect Jahan Dotson to be much less involved in his offense's passing game this week (7.4% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (13.7% in games he has played).

When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been phenomenal last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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