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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 66.2% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.

The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

Jahan Dotson's 35.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 44.0.

Jahan Dotson's 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 64.4% mark.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.1%) to wide receivers this year (56.1%).

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