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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be starting backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.8%) vs. wideouts this year (57.8%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

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