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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.

The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Last year, the weak Packers pass defense has yielded a monstrous 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.8 per game) last year.

The projections expect Jahan Dotson to be much less involved in his offense's passing game this week (7.4% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (13.7% in games he has played).

Jahan Dotson ranks as one of the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a lowly 6.95 adjusted yards-per-target last year while grading out in the 13th percentile among wide receivers

Jahan Dotson comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 24th percentile.

When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been phenomenal last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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