Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jahan Dotson

NFL · Player Props

Jahan Dotson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-114/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.42 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Jahan Dotson has been on the field for 78.9% of his team's snaps this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among WRs.
Jahan Dotson has compiled a whopping 75.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wideouts.
The Cleveland Browns safeties project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Jahan Dotson has been among the worst WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 0th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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