Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Jahan Dotson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 2:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Jahan Dotson to garner 6.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in football (75.7%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (75.7%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against wide receivers since the start of last season, yielding 9.21 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 11th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.